In the continuing conflict fought in the Middle East, battling ISIL’s unending war campaign, it’s easy to take the ‘war’ on face value. ISIL ideology threatens sovereignty, US-backed coalitions along with local and foreign military fight ISIL.
But it isn’t such a clear-cut response nor is the end-goal of ISIL fully understood; let alone the underlying consequences for the players involved.
For a long time, the creation of ISIL has been placed solely on the shoulders of the United States, and in some cases Saudi Arabia. In part this is correct, but rarely has Israel’s role been given its due consideration.
The obvious question that isn’t so obvious to ask is: Why isn’t ISIL – the hardline ideological terrorists – not considered a threat to Israel?
Based on ISIL ideology that all religions are false with the exception of their own, why has Israel not brutally suffered at the hands of these attackers as other neighbouring nations have?
According to a 2014 Strategic Culture report, “No Israeli politician or military leader has suggested ISIL poses any threat to the Jewish state.” Three years later and this proposition remains true. It was even recorded in late 2016, ISIL apologizing to Israel for stray gunfire crossing the Syrian/Israeli border.
Then what is Israel’s motivation in the ISIL debacle?
The somewhat prophetic report aforementioned, outlined the nations required to collapse in order to fill two Israeli objectives: The Clean Break policy and the Yinon Plan.
The Clean Break policy was first floated by Benyamin Netanyahu in July 1979, but issued in its full form in 1996. The concept was for a “Greater Israel” that would dominate its Arab neighbours through civil wars.
The Yinon Plan, not dissimilar to the Clean Break policy, called for the Palestinian peace process to be scrapped in order to implement the “Greater Israel.” The intention was 2-pronged. Firstly, absorb the West Bank and territories through to the Gaza and secondly, relocate (via forcible removal) the Palestinians to Egypt’s Sinai Desert.
Interestingly, the Yinon Plan “foresaw the breakup of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Egypt and Arabia into ethnic and sectarian-based mini-states that would be at war with one another.”
The planned war itself included at least one Sunni state, Shi’a state and a Kurdish state established in Iraq.
Current conditions have laid witness to the collapsing of most nations mentioned in the report, notably Syria, Iraq and Egypt (albeit Syria is still hanging on).
Currently, Iraq is also home to the recognized Kurdistan Region located in the north with a regional government established in 1992, and a constitution established and recognized in 2005. In essence, the Yinon Plan is coming into fruition thanks to ISIL aggression.
Where Does This Leave Israel?
ISIL’s appearance, as stated in the report, “fulfils” Israel’s Yinon and Clean Break policies, thus allowing for Israel to capitalize on ISIL’s chaos and divisive nature.
ISIL’s majority of funding comes from Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Emirates, but it’s vital to note that an alliance – admitted on Murdoch’s pro-Israel News Corporation by Saudi Prince Alwaleed-bin Talal – exists between Israel, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Kuwait and Qatar.
Though ISIL has not yet attacked Israel and is unlikely to do so in the future, the existing alliance between theses states currently threatens Iran, something unfolding today. According to the report, this threat is likely to carry over to Russia and China in the long run.